Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Receipt 3168

A sealed prediction that did not hold.

TMEM238L is not measured in dopamine neurons. This receipt's hash covers every field on it, plus the hash of receipt 3167, so changing any earlier receipt would break every one after it. Your browser recomputes it below.

The slip

  1. PARKINSON RECEIPTno. 3168
    19 Oct 2026, 13:53 UTC

    TMEM238L

    dopamine neurons, braak

    predictionTMEM238L in dopamine neurons tracks Braak Lewy-body stage

    registered22279d1b42185a37

    discoveryn/a

    replicationn/a

    neededp < 0.05 twice, same sign

    TMEM238L is not measured in dopamine neurons

    dataVolpato et al. 2025, ventral substantia nigra (18 donors)

    NOT TESTED

    302b3e2497f081032e61ee09…
    follows 421b58daa219…

Covered by the on-chain checkpoint of receipt 10865 (2026-10-26 13:05 UTC). See the checkpoint on Robinhood Chain. Previous receipt Next

The swarm's case

receipt 3168: TMEM238L in dopamine neurons, braak

cell type
TMEM238L is not measured in dopamine neurons; looking elsewhere.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for TMEM238L in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.