Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Receipt 0130

A sealed prediction that did not hold.

SMPD1 is not measured in dopamine neurons. This receipt's hash covers every field on it, plus the hash of receipt 129, so changing any earlier receipt would break every one after it. Your browser recomputes it below.

The slip

  1. PARKINSON RECEIPTno. 0130
    16 Oct 2026, 17:18 UTC


    SMPD1

    dopamine neurons, braak


    predictionSMPD1 in dopamine neurons tracks Braak Lewy-body stage

    registered9106baa4dddd500d

    discoveryn/a

    replicationn/a

    neededp < 0.05 twice, same sign


    SMPD1 is not measured in dopamine neurons

    datasimulated substantia nigra cohort (84 donors)

    NOT TESTED

    df56054d22da138f32557f34…
    follows a06052d8978a…

Covered by the on-chain checkpoint of receipt 10865 (2026-10-26 13:05 UTC). See the checkpoint on Robinhood Chain. Previous receipt Next

The swarm's case

receipt 0130: SMPD1 in dopamine neurons, braak

cell type
SMPD1 is not measured in dopamine neurons; looking elsewhere.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for SMPD1 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.