Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

SNCB

synuclein beta

translation score 0.40, read 2026-10-24; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.02 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
group enriched in brain excitatory neurons (72 nCPM)1.00
chemistry
Open Targets
hard to drug0.00
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
3 Parkinson's trials, 0 stopped1.00
literature
PubMed
35 Parkinson's papers of 650.53
pathways
Reactome
1 pathway; mostly other0.30

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 8224

Sealed predictions

  1. SNCB in dopamine neurons, braak-0.37 (p 0.329) → -0.37 (p 0.329)receipt 8232

Swarm cases

receipt 8232: SNCB in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.42 (p 0.082, n 18), 95% CI -0.74 to +0.06. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.45 (p 0.063, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.60 (p 0.0086, n 18). not the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.58 to -0.34, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.42 (p 0.082, n 18). robust.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for SNCB in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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