Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

SFMBT2

Scm like with four mbt domains 2

translation score 0.42, read 2026-10-27; 2 sealed predictions, 0 held; 3 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.01 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enhanced in microglia (2870 nCPM)1.00
chemistry
Open Targets
hard to drug0.00
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
2 Parkinson's papers of 860.85
pathways
Reactome
in no curated pathway0.00

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 11622

Sealed predictions

  1. SFMBT2 in dopamine neurons, braak-0.24 (p 0.533) → -0.06 (p 0.888)receipt 11630
  2. SFMBT2 in microglia, braak-0.32 (p 0.407) → +0.11 (p 0.775)receipt 11629

Swarm cases

receipt 11630: SFMBT2 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.33 (p 0.188, n 18), 95% CI -0.69 to +0.17. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.33 (p 0.182, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.28 (p 0.265, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.45 to -0.25, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.33 (p 0.188, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for SFMBT2 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

receipt 11629: SFMBT2 in microglia, braak

power
full sample +0.09 (p 0.735, n 18), 95% CI -0.40 to +0.53. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.09 (p 0.728, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
microglia share of nuclei vs axis -0.11 (p 0.652); controlling for it: +0.09 (p 0.735, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.01 to +0.20, sign flips 3; without severely affected donors +0.09 (p 0.735, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for SFMBT2 in microglia.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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