Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

SERPINE2

serpin family E member 2

translation score 0.49, read 2026-10-26; 2 sealed predictions, 0 held; 3 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.01 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enhanced, including astrocytes; strongest in extravillous trophoblasts0.75
chemistry
Open Targets
reachable by antibody0.45
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
1 Parkinson's papers of 2760.91
pathways
Reactome
4 pathways; mostly other0.30

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 10457

Sealed predictions

  1. SERPINE2 in dopamine neurons, braak-0.49 (p 0.183) → +0.27 (p 0.489)receipt 10465
  2. SERPINE2 in astrocytes, braak+0.35 (p 0.355) → +0.10 (p 0.807)receipt 10464

Swarm cases

receipt 10465: SERPINE2 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.37 (p 0.130, n 18), 95% CI -0.71 to +0.12. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.40 (p 0.099, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.41 (p 0.089, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.49 to -0.28, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.37 (p 0.130, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for SERPINE2 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

receipt 10464: SERPINE2 in astrocytes, braak

power
full sample +0.20 (p 0.418, n 18), 95% CI -0.29 to +0.61. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.20 (p 0.418, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
astrocytes share of nuclei vs axis -0.21 (p 0.413); controlling for it: +0.26 (p 0.302, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range +0.10 to +0.29, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors +0.20 (p 0.418, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for SERPINE2 in astrocytes.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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