Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

RUNX2

RUNX family transcription factor 2

translation score 0.48, read 2026-10-21; 2 sealed predictions, 0 held; 3 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.05 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enhanced, including microglia; strongest in innate lymphoid cells0.75
chemistry
Open Targets
a small-molecule pocket0.60
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
5 Parkinson's papers of 13,0340.76
pathways
Reactome
9 pathways; mostly other0.30

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 5538

Sealed predictions

  1. RUNX2 in dopamine neurons, braak-0.45 (p 0.226) → +0.15 (p 0.699)receipt 5546
  2. RUNX2 in microglia, braak-0.05 (p 0.893) → +0.92 (p 4.0e-4)receipt 5545

Swarm cases

receipt 5546: RUNX2 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.08 (p 0.767, n 18), 95% CI -0.52 to +0.41. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.08 (p 0.767, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.27 (p 0.273, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.22 to +0.05, sign flips 3; without severely affected donors -0.08 (p 0.767, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for RUNX2 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

receipt 5545: RUNX2 in microglia, braak

power
full sample +0.41 (p 0.089, n 18), 95% CI -0.07 to +0.74. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.41 (p 0.089, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
microglia share of nuclei vs axis -0.11 (p 0.652); controlling for it: +0.40 (p 0.097, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range +0.37 to +0.62, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors +0.41 (p 0.089, n 18). robust.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for RUNX2 in microglia.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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