Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

PPP1R15A

protein phosphatase 1 regulatory subunit 15A

translation score 0.45, read 2026-10-23; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.02 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
a small-molecule pocket0.60
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
1 Parkinson's papers of 1830.91
pathways
Reactome
2 pathways; mostly other0.30

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 7393

Sealed predictions

  1. PPP1R15A in dopamine neurons, braak-0.42 (p 0.262) → -0.70 (p 0.034)receipt 7401

Swarm cases

receipt 7401: PPP1R15A in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.51 (p 0.032, n 18), 95% CI -0.79 to -0.05. the interval excludes zero: something may be there, smaller than a half can see.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.44 (p 0.071, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.46 (p 0.055, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.57 to -0.45, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.51 (p 0.032, n 18). robust.
cell type
strongest in oligodendrocytes: -0.71 (p 0.0011, n 18) vs -0.51 in dopamine neurons. proposing oligodendrocytes.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for PPP1R15A in dopamine neurons.

follow-up registered; not confirmed in substantia nigra, an independent cohort.
follow-up PPP1R15A · oligodendrocytes · braak: substantia nigra, an independent cohort (Parkinson's or LBD vs controls) +0.52 p 0.062 (needs p < 2.9e-4)

Receipts

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