Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

MTHFD2

methylenetetrahydrofolate dehydrogenase (NADP+ dependent) 2, methenyltetrahydrofolate cyclohydrolase

translation score 0.49, read 2026-10-26; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.01 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
a small-molecule pocket0.60
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
1 Parkinson's papers of 3210.91
pathways
Reactome
1 pathway; mostly energy0.60

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 10650

Sealed predictions

  1. MTHFD2 in dopamine neurons, braak-0.76 (p 0.018) → -0.02 (p 0.965)receipt 10656

Swarm cases

receipt 10656: MTHFD2 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.35 (p 0.156, n 18), 95% CI -0.70 to +0.14. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.47 (p 0.049, n 18). holds up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.44 (p 0.064, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.43 to -0.28, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.35 (p 0.156, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for MTHFD2 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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