Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

MDM2

MDM2 proto-oncogene

translation score 0.51, read 2026-10-24; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.02 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
compounds already reach it: idasanutlin, navtemadlin, siremadlin +10.90
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
31 Parkinson's papers of 12,1860.54
pathways
Reactome
16 pathways; mostly vesicle traffic1.00

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 8572

Sealed predictions

  1. MDM2 in dopamine neurons, braak+0.78 (p 0.013) → -0.36 (p 0.347)receipt 8580

Swarm cases

receipt 8580: MDM2 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample +0.21 (p 0.413, n 18), 95% CI -0.29 to +0.61. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.22 (p 0.374, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: +0.27 (p 0.273, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range +0.08 to +0.33, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors +0.21 (p 0.413, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for MDM2 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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