Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

KIF21B

kinesin family member 21B

translation score 0.55, read 2026-10-25; 2 sealed predictions, 0 held; 3 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.01 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enhanced, including astrocytes; strongest in late spermatids0.75
chemistry
Open Targets
hard to drug0.27
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
2 Parkinson's papers of 720.85
pathways
Reactome
2 pathways; mostly vesicle traffic1.00

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 9782

Sealed predictions

  1. KIF21B in dopamine neurons, braak-0.37 (p 0.334) → -0.48 (p 0.192)receipt 9790
  2. KIF21B in astrocytes, braak-0.31 (p 0.419) → +0.60 (p 0.090)receipt 9789

Swarm cases

receipt 9790: KIF21B in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.41 (p 0.095, n 18), 95% CI -0.73 to +0.08. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.42 (p 0.086, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.52 (p 0.026, n 18). not the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.53 to -0.33, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.41 (p 0.095, n 18). robust.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for KIF21B in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

receipt 9789: KIF21B in astrocytes, braak

power
full sample -0.00 (p 0.997, n 18), 95% CI -0.47 to +0.47. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.01 (p 0.956, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
astrocytes share of nuclei vs axis -0.21 (p 0.413); controlling for it: +0.10 (p 0.690, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.12 to +0.13, sign flips 10; without severely affected donors -0.00 (p 0.997, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for KIF21B in astrocytes.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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