Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

IL2

interleukin 2

translation score 0.38, read 2026-10-20; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.06 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
group enriched outside the brain (t-cells)0.10
chemistry
Open Targets
a small-molecule pocket0.60
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
6 Parkinson's trials, 0 stopped1.00
literature
PubMed
95 Parkinson's papers of 61,3290.40
pathways
Reactome
4 pathways; mostly immune signalling0.90

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 4340

Sealed predictions

  1. IL2 in dopamine neurons, braak+0.58 (p 0.102) → +0.28 (p 0.459)receipt 4348

Swarm cases

receipt 4348: IL2 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample +0.46 (p 0.052, n 18), 95% CI -0.00 to +0.77. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.48 (p 0.046, n 18). holds up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: +0.50 (p 0.036, n 18). not the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range +0.41 to +0.68, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors +0.46 (p 0.052, n 18). robust.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for IL2 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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