Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

HEPH

hephaestin

translation score 0.49, read 2026-10-25; 2 sealed predictions, 0 held; 3 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.01 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enhanced, including astrocytes; strongest in colonocytes0.75
chemistry
Open Targets
reachable by antibody0.45
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
1 Parkinson's papers of 1310.91
pathways
Reactome
3 pathways; mostly other0.30

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 9800

Sealed predictions

  1. HEPH in dopamine neurons, braak+0.11 (p 0.775) → +0.50 (p 0.170)receipt 9808
  2. HEPH in astrocytes, braak-0.33 (p 0.389) → -0.22 (p 0.571)receipt 9807

Swarm cases

receipt 9808: HEPH in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample +0.48 (p 0.046, n 18), 95% CI +0.01 to +0.77. the interval excludes zero: something may be there, smaller than a half can see.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.49 (p 0.041, n 18). holds up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: +0.49 (p 0.041, n 18). not the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range +0.41 to +0.67, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors +0.48 (p 0.046, n 18). robust.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for HEPH in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

receipt 9807: HEPH in astrocytes, braak

power
full sample -0.33 (p 0.176, n 18), 95% CI -0.69 to +0.16. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.34 (p 0.161, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
astrocytes share of nuclei vs axis -0.21 (p 0.413); controlling for it: -0.28 (p 0.258, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.46 to -0.25, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.33 (p 0.176, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for HEPH in astrocytes.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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