Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

FOSB

FosB proto-oncogene, AP-1 transcription factor subunit

translation score 0.43, read 2026-10-23; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.02 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
a small-molecule pocket0.60
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
103 Parkinson's papers of 1,7880.39
pathways
Reactome
4 pathways; mostly immune signalling0.90

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 7941

Sealed predictions

  1. FOSB in dopamine neurons, braak-0.27 (p 0.474) → -0.27 (p 0.487)receipt 7948

Swarm cases

receipt 7948: FOSB in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.38 (p 0.118, n 18), 95% CI -0.72 to +0.10. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.38 (p 0.118, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.38 (p 0.123, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.54 to -0.30, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.38 (p 0.118, n 18). fragile.
cell type
strongest in astrocytes: -0.62 (p 0.0057, n 18) vs -0.38 in dopamine neurons. proposing astrocytes.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for FOSB in dopamine neurons.

case closed: every proposal failed a challenge.

Receipts

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