Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

CPT1A

carnitine palmitoyltransferase 1A

translation score 0.42, read 2026-10-19; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.08 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
a small-molecule pocket0.60
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
5 Parkinson's papers of 1,9770.76
pathways
Reactome
3 pathways; mostly other0.30

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 3283

Sealed predictions

  1. CPT1A in dopamine neurons, braak-0.15 (p 0.705) → -0.24 (p 0.533)receipt 3290

Swarm cases

receipt 3290: CPT1A in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.15 (p 0.544, n 18), 95% CI -0.58 to +0.34. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.21 (p 0.413, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.20 (p 0.434, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.30 to -0.04, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.15 (p 0.544, n 18). fragile.
cell type
strongest in microglia: -0.63 (p 0.0049, n 18) vs -0.15 in dopamine neurons. proposing microglia.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for CPT1A in dopamine neurons.

follow-up registered; not confirmed in substantia nigra, an independent cohort.
follow-up CPT1A · microglia · braak: substantia nigra, an independent cohort (Parkinson's or LBD vs controls) +0.07 p 0.790 (needs p < 5.7e-4)

Receipts

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