Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

BMP2K

BMP2 inducible kinase

translation score 0.52, read 2026-10-16; 2 sealed predictions, 0 held; 3 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.46 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enhanced in microglia (1141 nCPM)1.00
chemistry
Open Targets
a small-molecule pocket0.60
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
no papers tie it to Parkinson's yet1.00
pathways
Reactome
in no curated pathway0.00

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 0360

Sealed predictions

  1. BMP2K in dopamine neurons, braak+0.11 (p 0.773) → +0.06 (p 0.873)receipt 0368
  2. BMP2K in microglia, braak-0.08 (p 0.838) → +0.61 (p 0.083)receipt 0367

Swarm cases

receipt 0368: BMP2K in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample +0.16 (p 0.532, n 18), 95% CI -0.33 to +0.58. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.14 (p 0.585, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: +0.03 (p 0.922, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range +0.08 to +0.33, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors +0.16 (p 0.532, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for BMP2K in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

receipt 0367: BMP2K in microglia, braak

power
full sample +0.27 (p 0.281, n 18), 95% CI -0.23 to +0.65. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.31 (p 0.207, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
microglia share of nuclei vs axis -0.11 (p 0.652); controlling for it: +0.52 (p 0.027, n 18). not the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range +0.17 to +0.44, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors +0.27 (p 0.281, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for BMP2K in microglia.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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