Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

BCL11B

BCL11 transcription factor B

translation score 0.41, read 2026-10-26; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.01 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enhanced, including brain inhibitory neurons; strongest in t-cells0.75
chemistry
Open Targets
hard to drug0.00
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
3 Parkinson's papers of 5460.82
pathways
Reactome
2 pathways; mostly other0.30

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 11050

Sealed predictions

  1. BCL11B in dopamine neurons, braak-0.73 (p 0.026) → +0.20 (p 0.601)receipt 11057

Swarm cases

receipt 11057: BCL11B in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.27 (p 0.277, n 18), 95% CI -0.65 to +0.22. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.31 (p 0.207, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.34 (p 0.161, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.43 to -0.18, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.27 (p 0.277, n 18). fragile.
cell type
strongest in OPCs: -0.65 (p 0.0033, n 18) vs -0.27 in dopamine neurons. proposing OPCs.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for BCL11B in dopamine neurons.

follow-up registered; not confirmed in substantia nigra, an independent cohort.
follow-up BCL11B · OPCs · braak: substantia nigra, an independent cohort (Parkinson's or LBD vs controls) -0.15 p 0.594 (needs p < 2.0e-4)

Receipts

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