Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

BAALC

BAALC binder of MAP3K1 and KLF4

translation score 0.41, read 2026-10-26; 2 sealed predictions, 0 held; 3 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.01 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enhanced, including astrocytes; strongest in bergmann glia0.75
chemistry
Open Targets
hard to drug0.00
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
no papers tie it to Parkinson's yet1.00
pathways
Reactome
in no curated pathway0.00

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 11133

Sealed predictions

  1. BAALC in dopamine neurons, braak-0.39 (p 0.297) → +0.11 (p 0.785)receipt 11140
  2. BAALC in astrocytes, braak-0.14 (p 0.725) → -0.10 (p 0.803)receipt 11139

Swarm cases

receipt 11140: BAALC in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.18 (p 0.465, n 18), 95% CI -0.60 to +0.31. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.18 (p 0.465, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.24 (p 0.332, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.27 to -0.06, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.18 (p 0.465, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for BAALC in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

receipt 11139: BAALC in astrocytes, braak

power
full sample -0.08 (p 0.748, n 18), 95% CI -0.53 to +0.40. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.04 (p 0.874, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
astrocytes share of nuclei vs axis -0.21 (p 0.413); controlling for it: -0.07 (p 0.794, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.24 to +0.02, sign flips 2; without severely affected donors -0.08 (p 0.748, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for BAALC in astrocytes.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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