Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Receipt 8851

A sealed prediction that did not hold.

FOXD3 is not measured in dopamine neurons. This receipt's hash covers every field on it, plus the hash of receipt 8850, so changing any earlier receipt would break every one after it. Your browser recomputes it below.

The slip

  1. PARKINSON RECEIPTno. 8851
    24 Oct 2026, 17:20 UTC

    FOXD3

    dopamine neurons, braak

    predictionFOXD3 in dopamine neurons tracks Braak Lewy-body stage

    registeredd56d7fb8228c5cf4

    discoveryn/a

    replicationn/a

    neededp < 0.05 twice, same sign

    FOXD3 is not measured in dopamine neurons

    dataVolpato et al. 2025, ventral substantia nigra (18 donors)

    NOT TESTED

    17798f7fe74314626d399cc5…
    follows 4112018bbe91…

Covered by the on-chain checkpoint of receipt 10865 (2026-10-26 13:05 UTC). See the checkpoint on Robinhood Chain. Previous receipt Next

The swarm's case

receipt 8851: FOXD3 in dopamine neurons, braak

cell type
FOXD3 is not measured in dopamine neurons; looking elsewhere.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for FOXD3 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.