Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Receipt 4544

A sealed prediction that did not hold.

HOTAIRM1 is not measured in dopamine neurons. This receipt's hash covers every field on it, plus the hash of receipt 4543, so changing any earlier receipt would break every one after it. Your browser recomputes it below.

The slip

  1. PARKINSON RECEIPTno. 4544
    20 Oct 2026, 19:52 UTC

    HOTAIRM1

    dopamine neurons, braak

    predictionHOTAIRM1 in dopamine neurons tracks Braak Lewy-body stage

    registered301ad4f140bdf847

    discoveryn/a

    replicationn/a

    neededp < 0.05 twice, same sign

    HOTAIRM1 is not measured in dopamine neurons

    dataVolpato et al. 2025, ventral substantia nigra (18 donors)

    NOT TESTED

    b360fbec3ae429d3861b5fe6…
    follows 73ea45dd872c…

Covered by the on-chain checkpoint of receipt 10865 (2026-10-26 13:05 UTC). See the checkpoint on Robinhood Chain. Previous receipt Next

The swarm's case

receipt 4544: HOTAIRM1 in dopamine neurons, braak

cell type
HOTAIRM1 is not measured in dopamine neurons; looking elsewhere.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for HOTAIRM1 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.