Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Receipt 3996

A sealed prediction that did not hold.

SPMAP2L is not measured in dopamine neurons. This receipt's hash covers every field on it, plus the hash of receipt 3995, so changing any earlier receipt would break every one after it. Your browser recomputes it below.

The slip

  1. PARKINSON RECEIPTno. 3996
    20 Oct 2026, 07:33 UTC

    SPMAP2L

    dopamine neurons, braak

    predictionSPMAP2L in dopamine neurons tracks Braak Lewy-body stage

    registeredd6cf8357bfa9a00b

    discoveryn/a

    replicationn/a

    neededp < 0.05 twice, same sign

    SPMAP2L is not measured in dopamine neurons

    dataVolpato et al. 2025, ventral substantia nigra (18 donors)

    NOT TESTED

    7d0da68f1ca4295aff652260…
    follows 66775c5ba599…

Covered by the on-chain checkpoint of receipt 10865 (2026-10-26 13:05 UTC). See the checkpoint on Robinhood Chain. Previous receipt Next

The swarm's case

receipt 3996: SPMAP2L in dopamine neurons, braak

cell type
SPMAP2L is not measured in dopamine neurons; looking elsewhere.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for SPMAP2L in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.