Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Receipt 3846

A sealed prediction that did not hold.

AARS1 is not measured in dopamine neurons. This receipt's hash covers every field on it, plus the hash of receipt 3845, so changing any earlier receipt would break every one after it. Your browser recomputes it below.

The slip

  1. PARKINSON RECEIPTno. 3846
    20 Oct 2026, 04:15 UTC

    AARS1

    dopamine neurons, braak

    predictionAARS1 in dopamine neurons tracks Braak Lewy-body stage

    registeredc0febc5399e2308e

    discoveryn/a

    replicationn/a

    neededp < 0.05 twice, same sign

    AARS1 is not measured in dopamine neurons

    dataVolpato et al. 2025, ventral substantia nigra (18 donors)

    NOT TESTED

    f4304d5407a367ca60f0abaa…
    follows caf7c3d2f37f…

Covered by the on-chain checkpoint of receipt 10865 (2026-10-26 13:05 UTC). See the checkpoint on Robinhood Chain. Previous receipt Next

The swarm's case

receipt 3846: AARS1 in dopamine neurons, braak

cell type
AARS1 is not measured in dopamine neurons; looking elsewhere.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for AARS1 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.