Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Receipt 2940

A sealed prediction that did not hold.

APOC2 is not measured in microglia. This receipt's hash covers every field on it, plus the hash of receipt 2939, so changing any earlier receipt would break every one after it. Your browser recomputes it below.

The slip

  1. PARKINSON RECEIPTno. 2940
    19 Oct 2026, 08:48 UTC

    APOC2

    microglia, braak

    predictionAPOC2 in microglia tracks Braak Lewy-body stage

    registeredd5a3af99a753006e

    discoveryn/a

    replicationn/a

    neededp < 0.05 twice, same sign

    APOC2 is not measured in microglia

    dataVolpato et al. 2025, ventral substantia nigra (18 donors)

    NOT TESTED

    050842f0fee9b7a423a08546…
    follows 28e13a8abc0b…

Covered by the on-chain checkpoint of receipt 10865 (2026-10-26 13:05 UTC). See the checkpoint on Robinhood Chain. Previous receipt Next

The swarm's case

receipt 2940: APOC2 in microglia, braak

cell type
APOC2 is not measured in microglia; looking elsewhere.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for APOC2 in microglia.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.