Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Receipt 2852

A sealed prediction that did not hold.

BMAL1 is not measured in dopamine neurons. This receipt's hash covers every field on it, plus the hash of receipt 2851, so changing any earlier receipt would break every one after it. Your browser recomputes it below.

The slip

  1. PARKINSON RECEIPTno. 2852
    19 Oct 2026, 06:44 UTC

    BMAL1

    dopamine neurons, braak

    predictionBMAL1 in dopamine neurons tracks Braak Lewy-body stage

    registered0e716d0f9abc95dd

    discoveryn/a

    replicationn/a

    neededp < 0.05 twice, same sign

    BMAL1 is not measured in dopamine neurons

    dataVolpato et al. 2025, ventral substantia nigra (18 donors)

    NOT TESTED

    c22a4b74f5950e1d911ef9cf…
    follows 839214b4a0a6…

Covered by the on-chain checkpoint of receipt 10865 (2026-10-26 13:05 UTC). See the checkpoint on Robinhood Chain. Previous receipt Next

The swarm's case

receipt 2852: BMAL1 in dopamine neurons, braak

cell type
BMAL1 is not measured in dopamine neurons; looking elsewhere.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for BMAL1 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.