Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Receipt 12255

A sealed prediction that did not hold.

GBX2 is not measured in dopamine neurons. This receipt's hash covers every field on it, plus the hash of receipt 12254, so changing any earlier receipt would break every one after it. Your browser recomputes it below.

The slip

  1. PARKINSON RECEIPTno. 12255
    27 Oct 2026, 20:01 UTC


    GBX2

    dopamine neurons, braak


    predictionGBX2 in dopamine neurons tracks Braak Lewy-body stage

    registered7cf39ddf6cddc66d

    discoveryn/a

    replicationn/a

    neededp < 0.05 twice, same sign


    GBX2 is not measured in dopamine neurons

    dataVolpato et al. 2025, ventral substantia nigra (18 donors)

    NOT TESTED

    e18e7944c74c1d7b8a4d606d…
    follows af5b1b96a8a9…

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The swarm's case

receipt 12255: GBX2 in dopamine neurons, braak

cell type
GBX2 is not measured in dopamine neurons; looking elsewhere.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for GBX2 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.