Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

TWIST2

twist family bHLH transcription factor 2

translation score 0.47, read 2026-10-21; 2 sealed predictions, 0 held; 3 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.05 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enhanced in microglia (24 nCPM)1.00
chemistry
Open Targets
hard to drug0.00
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
1 Parkinson's papers of 3700.91
pathways
Reactome
2 pathways; mostly other0.30

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 5334

Sealed predictions

  1. TWIST2 in dopamine neurons, braak-0.51 (p 0.157) → -0.13 (p 0.732)receipt 5342
  2. TWIST2 in microglia, braak+0.18 (p 0.652) → -0.05 (p 0.894)receipt 5341

Swarm cases

receipt 5342: TWIST2 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.40 (p 0.099, n 18), 95% CI -0.73 to +0.08. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.38 (p 0.125, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.43 (p 0.072, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.52 to -0.32, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.40 (p 0.099, n 18). robust.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for TWIST2 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

receipt 5341: TWIST2 in microglia, braak

power
full sample +0.07 (p 0.787, n 18), 95% CI -0.41 to +0.52. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.06 (p 0.820, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
microglia share of nuclei vs axis -0.11 (p 0.652); controlling for it: -0.01 (p 0.976, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.07 to +0.17, sign flips 4; without severely affected donors +0.07 (p 0.787, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for TWIST2 in microglia.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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