Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

TFAP2A

transcription factor AP-2 alpha

translation score 0.53, read 2026-10-24; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.02 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
a small-molecule pocket0.60
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
1 Parkinson's papers of 5110.91
pathways
Reactome
12 pathways; mostly protein handling0.90

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 8528

Sealed predictions

  1. TFAP2A in dopamine neurons, braak-0.58 (p 0.101) → +0.13 (p 0.732)receipt 8535

Swarm cases

receipt 8535: TFAP2A in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.20 (p 0.434, n 18), 95% CI -0.61 to +0.30. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.15 (p 0.549, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.25 (p 0.310, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.35 to -0.10, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.20 (p 0.434, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for TFAP2A in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

loading the receipts