Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

SYP

synaptophysin

translation score 0.41, read 2026-10-22; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.04 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enhanced, including brain excitatory neurons; strongest in retinal bipolar cells0.75
chemistry
Open Targets
reachable by antibody0.36
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
20 Parkinson's papers of 1,1880.60
pathways
Reactome
1 pathway; mostly other0.30

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 5880

Sealed predictions

  1. SYP in dopamine neurons, braak+0.25 (p 0.517) → -0.07 (p 0.859)receipt 5886

Swarm cases

receipt 5886: SYP in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample +0.15 (p 0.561, n 18), 95% CI -0.34 to +0.57. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.10 (p 0.696, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: +0.18 (p 0.476, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range +0.03 to +0.28, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors +0.15 (p 0.561, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for SYP in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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