Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

STAT6

signal transducer and activator of transcription 6

translation score 0.48, read 2026-10-22; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.04 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
a small-molecule pocket0.60
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
1 Parkinson's trial, 0 stopped1.00
literature
PubMed
15 Parkinson's papers of 4,9950.64
pathways
Reactome
6 pathways; mostly immune signalling0.90

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 6012

Sealed predictions

  1. STAT6 in dopamine neurons, braak-0.38 (p 0.309) → -0.52 (p 0.149)receipt 6021

Swarm cases

receipt 6021: STAT6 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.38 (p 0.116, n 18), 95% CI -0.72 to +0.10. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.39 (p 0.109, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.58 (p 0.012, n 18). not the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.48 to -0.30, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.38 (p 0.116, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for STAT6 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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