Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

SLC16A1

solute carrier family 16 member 1

translation score 0.49, read 2026-10-25; 2 sealed predictions, 0 held; 3 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.01 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enhanced, including oligodendrocytes; strongest in late spermatids0.75
chemistry
Open Targets
a small-molecule pocket0.60
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
2 Parkinson's papers of 3480.85
pathways
Reactome
4 pathways; mostly other0.30

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 9828

Sealed predictions

  1. SLC16A1 in dopamine neurons, braak+0.38 (p 0.309) → +0.08 (p 0.842)receipt 9836
  2. SLC16A1 in oligodendrocytes, braak+0.13 (p 0.739) → -0.26 (p 0.502)receipt 9835

Swarm cases

receipt 9836: SLC16A1 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample +0.26 (p 0.289, n 18), 95% CI -0.23 to +0.65. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.27 (p 0.273, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: +0.23 (p 0.365, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range +0.17 to +0.42, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors +0.26 (p 0.289, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for SLC16A1 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

receipt 9835: SLC16A1 in oligodendrocytes, braak

power
full sample -0.03 (p 0.908, n 18), 95% CI -0.49 to +0.44. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.02 (p 0.942, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
oligodendrocytes share of nuclei vs axis +0.03 (p 0.915); controlling for it: +0.06 (p 0.827, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.17 to +0.08, sign flips 7; without severely affected donors -0.03 (p 0.908, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for SLC16A1 in oligodendrocytes.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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