Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

SF3B1

splicing factor 3b subunit 1

translation score 0.45, read 2026-10-16; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.46 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
a small-molecule pocket0.60
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
1 Parkinson's papers of 1,6110.91
pathways
Reactome
6 pathways; mostly other0.30

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 0343

Sealed predictions

  1. SF3B1 in dopamine neurons, braak+0.11 (p 0.787) → +0.30 (p 0.436)receipt 0350

Swarm cases

receipt 0350: SF3B1 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample +0.18 (p 0.482, n 18), 95% CI -0.32 to +0.59. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.14 (p 0.591, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: +0.26 (p 0.289, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range +0.07 to +0.28, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors +0.18 (p 0.482, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for SF3B1 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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