Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

SERPINB3

serpin family B member 3

translation score 0.41, read 2026-10-23; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.02 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
group enriched outside the brain (respiratory secretory cells)0.10
chemistry
Open Targets
reachable by antibody0.45
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
no papers tie it to Parkinson's yet1.00
pathways
Reactome
1 pathway; mostly other0.30

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 7960

Sealed predictions

  1. SERPINB3 in dopamine neurons, braak+0.36 (p 0.336) → +0.00 (p 1.000)receipt 7968

Swarm cases

receipt 7968: SERPINB3 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample +0.14 (p 0.591, n 18), 95% CI -0.35 to +0.57. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.10 (p 0.696, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: +0.11 (p 0.658, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range +0.03 to +0.28, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors +0.14 (p 0.591, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for SERPINB3 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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