Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

SERPINA3

serpin family A member 3

translation score 0.50, read 2026-10-21; 2 sealed predictions, 0 held; 3 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.05 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enriched in astrocytes (9 nCPM)1.00
chemistry
Open Targets
reachable by antibody0.45
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
4 Parkinson's papers of 4530.79
pathways
Reactome
2 pathways; mostly other0.30

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 5084

Sealed predictions

  1. SERPINA3 in dopamine neurons, braak-0.21 (p 0.591) → -0.20 (p 0.597)receipt 5092
  2. SERPINA3 in astrocytes, braak+0.03 (p 0.947) → +0.54 (p 0.130)receipt 5091

Swarm cases

receipt 5092: SERPINA3 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.02 (p 0.942, n 18), 95% CI -0.48 to +0.45. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.00 (p 0.997, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.22 (p 0.384, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.14 to +0.10, sign flips 6; without severely affected donors -0.02 (p 0.942, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for SERPINA3 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

receipt 5091: SERPINA3 in astrocytes, braak

power
full sample +0.30 (p 0.225, n 18), 95% CI -0.19 to +0.67. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.27 (p 0.273, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
astrocytes share of nuclei vs axis -0.21 (p 0.413); controlling for it: +0.02 (p 0.935, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range +0.22 to +0.46, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors +0.30 (p 0.225, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for SERPINA3 in astrocytes.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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