Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

ROBO3

roundabout guidance receptor 3

translation score 0.51, read 2026-10-22; 2 sealed predictions, 0 held; 3 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.04 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enhanced, including astrocytes; strongest in bergmann glia0.75
chemistry
Open Targets
reachable by antibody0.45
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
no papers tie it to Parkinson's yet1.00
pathways
Reactome
3 pathways; mostly other0.30

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 6028

Sealed predictions

  1. ROBO3 in astrocytes, braak-0.32 (p 0.406) → -0.14 (p 0.718)receipt 6035
  2. ROBO3 in dopamine neurons, braak-0.37 (p 0.334) → -0.15 (p 0.699)receipt 6036

Swarm cases

receipt 6036: ROBO3 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.33 (p 0.182, n 18), 95% CI -0.69 to +0.16. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.33 (p 0.182, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.54 (p 0.022, n 18). not the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.48 to -0.24, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.33 (p 0.182, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for ROBO3 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

receipt 6035: ROBO3 in astrocytes, braak

power
full sample -0.26 (p 0.289, n 18), 95% CI -0.65 to +0.23. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.35 (p 0.159, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
astrocytes share of nuclei vs axis -0.21 (p 0.413); controlling for it: -0.34 (p 0.173, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.37 to -0.15, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.26 (p 0.289, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for ROBO3 in astrocytes.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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