Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

RBP1

retinol binding protein 1

translation score 0.51, read 2026-10-26; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.01 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
a small-molecule pocket0.60
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
no papers tie it to Parkinson's yet1.00
pathways
Reactome
3 pathways; mostly energy0.60

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 10958

Sealed predictions

  1. RBP1 in dopamine neurons, braak+0.59 (p 0.096) → -0.26 (p 0.504)receipt 10965

Swarm cases

receipt 10965: RBP1 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample +0.10 (p 0.683, n 18), 95% CI -0.38 to +0.54. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.11 (p 0.652, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: +0.11 (p 0.652, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range +0.02 to +0.27, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors +0.10 (p 0.683, n 18). fragile.
cell type
strongest in microglia: -0.61 (p 0.0069, n 18) vs +0.10 in dopamine neurons. proposing microglia.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for RBP1 in dopamine neurons.

follow-up registered; not confirmed in substantia nigra, an independent cohort.
follow-up RBP1 · microglia · braak: substantia nigra, an independent cohort (Parkinson's or LBD vs controls) -0.50 p 0.076 (needs p < 2.0e-4)

Receipts

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