Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

PAX5

paired box 5

translation score 0.53, read 2026-10-23; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.03 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
enriched in the midbrain (14 nTPM), where the nigral dopamine neurons sit0.90
chemistry
Open Targets
hard to drug0.40
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
1 Parkinson's trial, 0 stopped1.00
literature
PubMed
12 Parkinson's papers of 2,2850.66
pathways
Reactome
2 pathways; mostly immune signalling0.90

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 7123

Sealed predictions

  1. PAX5 in dopamine neurons, braak-0.48 (p 0.195) → -0.04 (p 0.909)receipt 7130

Swarm cases

receipt 7130: PAX5 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.28 (p 0.254, n 18), 95% CI -0.66 to +0.21. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.26 (p 0.302, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.44 (p 0.070, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.44 to -0.20, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.28 (p 0.254, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for PAX5 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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