Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

ORMDL3

ORMDL sphingolipid biosynthesis regulator 3

translation score 0.56, read 2026-10-26; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 1 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.01 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
a small-molecule pocket0.60
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
no papers tie it to Parkinson's yet1.00
pathways
Reactome
2 pathways; mostly lysosome and autophagy1.00
proposal for ORMDL3, translation score 0.56

Knock down and overexpress ORMDL3 in a dopamine neuron, astrocyte and microglia tri-culture; measure glucocerebrosidase (GCase) activity and LC3-II and p62 flux and dopamine neuron survival after α-synuclein fibril challenge.

Cell type
a dopamine neuron, astrocyte and microglia tri-culture
Direction
Both arms: public data does not say which way helps.
Molecular readout
glucocerebrosidase (GCase) activity and LC3-II and p62 flux
Functional readout
dopamine neuron survival after α-synuclein fibril challenge
Rule-out
If neither arm moves glucocerebrosidase (GCase) activity by 20% or more against non-targeting and empty-vector controls, across three independent differentiations, the hypothesis is wrong.
Lab request
CRISPRi knockdown and lentiviral overexpression of ORMDL3 in a tri-culture of iPSC dopamine neurons, astrocytes and microglia; n = 3 differentiations; readouts: glucocerebrosidase (GCase) activity and LC3-II and p62 flux; dopamine neuron survival after α-synuclein fibril challenge. Controls: non-targeting guide, empty vector. About 8 to 10 weeks, most of it differentiation.

Sealed predictions

  1. ORMDL3 in dopamine neurons, braak-0.20 (p 0.597) → -0.91 (p 5.9e-4)receipt 10947

Swarm cases

receipt 10947: ORMDL3 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.49 (p 0.040, n 18), 95% CI -0.78 to -0.03. the interval excludes zero: something may be there, smaller than a half can see.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.53 (p 0.024, n 18). holds up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.65 (p 0.0033, n 18). not the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.63 to -0.42, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.49 (p 0.040, n 18). robust.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for ORMDL3 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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