Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

NSMF

NMDA receptor synaptonuclear signaling and neuronal migration factor

translation score 0.47, read 2026-10-21; 2 sealed predictions, 0 held; 3 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.05 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enhanced, including astrocytes; strongest in ependymal cells0.75
chemistry
Open Targets
reachable by antibody0.45
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
no papers tie it to Parkinson's yet1.00
pathways
Reactome
in no curated pathway0.00

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 5472

Sealed predictions

  1. NSMF in dopamine neurons, braak-0.79 (p 0.011) → +0.53 (p 0.145)receipt 5481
  2. NSMF in astrocytes, braak-0.90 (p 8.1e-4) → -0.14 (p 0.714)receipt 5480

Swarm cases

receipt 5481: NSMF in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.11 (p 0.671, n 18), 95% CI -0.55 to +0.38. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.15 (p 0.561, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.29 (p 0.246, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.24 to +0.00, sign flips 2; without severely affected donors -0.11 (p 0.671, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for NSMF in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

receipt 5480: NSMF in astrocytes, braak

power
full sample -0.59 (p 0.010, n 18), 95% CI -0.83 to -0.17. the interval excludes zero: something may be there, smaller than a half can see.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.59 (p 0.010, n 18). holds up.
composition
astrocytes share of nuclei vs axis -0.21 (p 0.413); controlling for it: -0.61 (p 0.0067, n 18). not the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.71 to -0.53, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.59 (p 0.010, n 18). robust.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for NSMF in astrocytes.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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