Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

NPTX2

neuronal pentraxin 2

translation score 0.32, read 2026-10-19; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.09 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
reachable by antibody0.36
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
2 Parkinson's trials, 0 stopped1.00
literature
PubMed
22 Parkinson's papers of 2420.59
pathways
Reactome
in no curated pathway0.00

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 2965

Sealed predictions

  1. NPTX2 in dopamine neurons, braak+0.00 (p 1.000) → -0.01 (p 0.982)receipt 2972

Swarm cases

receipt 2972: NPTX2 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.03 (p 0.894, n 18), 95% CI -0.49 to +0.44. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.03 (p 0.894, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.09 (p 0.715, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.16 to +0.09, sign flips 5; without severely affected donors -0.03 (p 0.894, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for NPTX2 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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