Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

NOTCH3

notch receptor 3

translation score 0.50, read 2026-10-20; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.06 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
compounds already reach it: tarextumab0.81
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
3 Parkinson's trials, 0 stopped1.00
literature
PubMed
26 Parkinson's papers of 2,6900.57
pathways
Reactome
8 pathways; mostly vesicle traffic1.00

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 4322

Sealed predictions

  1. NOTCH3 in dopamine neurons, braak-0.37 (p 0.323) → -0.35 (p 0.361)receipt 4330

Swarm cases

receipt 4330: NOTCH3 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.27 (p 0.281, n 18), 95% CI -0.65 to +0.23. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.31 (p 0.218, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.35 (p 0.156, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.37 to -0.17, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.27 (p 0.281, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for NOTCH3 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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