Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

NGF

nerve growth factor

translation score 0.42, read 2026-10-21; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.05 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
compounds already reach it: tanezumab, fulranumab, fasinumab +20.81
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
47 Parkinson's trials, 0 stopped1.00
literature
PubMed
331 Parkinson's papers of 18,7010.24
pathways
Reactome
19 pathways; mostly immune signalling0.90

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 5388

Sealed predictions

  1. NGF in dopamine neurons, braak-0.16 (p 0.680) → -0.22 (p 0.569)receipt 5396

Swarm cases

receipt 5396: NGF in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.06 (p 0.807, n 18), 95% CI -0.51 to +0.42. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.11 (p 0.671, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.02 (p 0.942, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.19 to +0.04, sign flips 4; without severely affected donors -0.06 (p 0.807, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for NGF in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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