Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

NDUFS4

NADH:ubiquinone oxidoreductase subunit S4

translation score 0.53, read 2026-10-17; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.42 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
compounds already reach it: metformin hydrochloride, me-344, metformin1.00
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
4 Parkinson's trials, 0 stopped1.00
literature
PubMed
20 Parkinson's papers of 3410.60
pathways
Reactome
2 pathways; mostly mitochondrial quality control1.00

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 0491

Sealed predictions

  1. NDUFS4 in dopamine neurons, braak+0.39 (p 0.297) → +0.29 (p 0.442)receipt 0496

Swarm cases

receipt 0496: NDUFS4 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample +0.35 (p 0.150, n 18), 95% CI -0.14 to +0.70. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.34 (p 0.170, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: +0.44 (p 0.070, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range +0.27 to +0.48, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors +0.35 (p 0.150, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for NDUFS4 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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