Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

NCEH1

neutral cholesterol ester hydrolase 1

translation score 0.45, read 2026-10-26; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.01 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
a small-molecule pocket0.60
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
1 Parkinson's papers of 570.91
pathways
Reactome
1 pathway; mostly other0.30

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 10863

Sealed predictions

  1. NCEH1 in dopamine neurons, braak+0.23 (p 0.545) → -0.57 (p 0.108)receipt 10871

Swarm cases

receipt 10871: NCEH1 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.30 (p 0.225, n 18), 95% CI -0.67 to +0.19. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.30 (p 0.232, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.29 (p 0.235, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.46 to -0.22, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.30 (p 0.225, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for NCEH1 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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