Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

MBTPS1

membrane bound transcription factor peptidase, site 1

translation score 0.55, read 2026-10-23; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.03 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
a small-molecule pocket0.60
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
no papers tie it to Parkinson's yet1.00
pathways
Reactome
7 pathways; mostly protein handling0.90

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 7180

Sealed predictions

  1. MBTPS1 in dopamine neurons, braak+0.00 (p 1.000) → -0.90 (p 8.1e-4)receipt 7187

Swarm cases

receipt 7187: MBTPS1 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.47 (p 0.050, n 18), 95% CI -0.77 to -0.00. the interval excludes zero: something may be there, smaller than a half can see.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.52 (p 0.028, n 18). holds up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.49 (p 0.039, n 18). not the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.60 to -0.40, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.47 (p 0.050, n 18). robust.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for MBTPS1 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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