Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

MBP

myelin basic protein

translation score 0.40, read 2026-10-19; 2 sealed predictions, 0 held; 3 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.10 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
group enriched in oligodendrocytes (4148 nCPM)1.00
chemistry
Open Targets
hard to drug0.27
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
87 Parkinson's papers of 17,8390.41
pathways
Reactome
1 pathway; mostly other0.30

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 2569

Sealed predictions

  1. MBP in oligodendrocytes, braak+0.56 (p 0.116) → +0.18 (p 0.639)receipt 2575
  2. MBP in dopamine neurons, braak-0.08 (p 0.840) → +0.48 (p 0.186)receipt 2576

Swarm cases

receipt 2576: MBP in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample +0.23 (p 0.360, n 18), 95% CI -0.27 to +0.63. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.23 (p 0.360, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: +0.34 (p 0.167, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range +0.13 to +0.38, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors +0.23 (p 0.360, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for MBP in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

receipt 2575: MBP in oligodendrocytes, braak

power
full sample +0.38 (p 0.125, n 18), 95% CI -0.11 to +0.72. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.40 (p 0.099, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
oligodendrocytes share of nuclei vs axis +0.03 (p 0.915); controlling for it: +0.49 (p 0.038, n 18). not the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range +0.30 to +0.52, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors +0.38 (p 0.125, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for MBP in oligodendrocytes.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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