Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

LILRB1

leukocyte immunoglobulin like receptor B1

translation score 0.54, read 2026-10-24; 2 sealed predictions, 0 held; 3 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.01 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
group enriched in microglia (73 nCPM)1.00
chemistry
Open Targets
hard to drug0.00
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
2 Parkinson's papers of 2520.85
pathways
Reactome
1 pathway; mostly immune signalling0.90

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 8968

Sealed predictions

  1. LILRB1 in dopamine neurons, braak-0.73 (p 0.025) → -0.18 (p 0.648)receipt 8976
  2. LILRB1 in microglia, braak+0.14 (p 0.724) → -0.20 (p 0.597)receipt 8975

Swarm cases

receipt 8976: LILRB1 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.57 (p 0.014, n 18), 95% CI -0.82 to -0.14. the interval excludes zero: something may be there, smaller than a half can see.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.58 (p 0.013, n 18). holds up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.58 (p 0.013, n 18). not the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.65 to -0.53, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.57 (p 0.014, n 18). robust.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for LILRB1 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

receipt 8975: LILRB1 in microglia, braak

power
full sample +0.01 (p 0.976, n 18), 95% CI -0.46 to +0.47. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.04 (p 0.867, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
microglia share of nuclei vs axis -0.11 (p 0.652); controlling for it: -0.03 (p 0.915, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.13 to +0.15, sign flips 6; without severely affected donors +0.01 (p 0.976, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for LILRB1 in microglia.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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