Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

KCNJ11

potassium inwardly rectifying channel subfamily J member 11

translation score 0.59, read 2026-10-19; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 1 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.10 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
compounds already reach it: glipizide, chlorpropamide, repaglinide +121.00
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
1 Parkinson's trial, 0 stopped1.00
literature
PubMed
1 Parkinson's papers of 1,2080.91
pathways
Reactome
6 pathways; mostly dopamine synapse1.00
proposal for KCNJ11, translation score 0.59

Knock down and overexpress KCNJ11 in a dopamine neuron, astrocyte and microglia tri-culture; measure evoked dopamine release and dopamine transporter uptake and dopamine neuron survival after α-synuclein fibril challenge.

Cell type
a dopamine neuron, astrocyte and microglia tri-culture
Direction
Both arms: public data does not say which way helps; existing compounds already reach the inhibition arm.
Molecular readout
evoked dopamine release and dopamine transporter uptake
Functional readout
dopamine neuron survival after α-synuclein fibril challenge
Rule-out
If neither arm moves evoked dopamine release by 20% or more against non-targeting and empty-vector controls, across three independent differentiations, the hypothesis is wrong.
Lab request
CRISPRi knockdown and lentiviral overexpression of KCNJ11 in a tri-culture of iPSC dopamine neurons, astrocytes and microglia; n = 3 differentiations; readouts: evoked dopamine release and dopamine transporter uptake; dopamine neuron survival after α-synuclein fibril challenge. Controls: non-targeting guide, empty vector. About 8 to 10 weeks, most of it differentiation.

Sealed predictions

  1. KCNJ11 in dopamine neurons, braak-0.11 (p 0.775) → +0.00 (p 1.000)receipt 2582

Swarm cases

receipt 2582: KCNJ11 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.04 (p 0.888, n 18), 95% CI -0.49 to +0.44. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.01 (p 0.976, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.03 (p 0.908, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.16 to +0.09, sign flips 4; without severely affected donors -0.04 (p 0.888, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for KCNJ11 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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