Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

ISG15

ISG15 ubiquitin like modifier

translation score 0.48, read 2026-10-24; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.01 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
a small-molecule pocket0.60
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
11 Parkinson's papers of 2,5700.67
pathways
Reactome
10 pathways; mostly immune signalling0.90

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 9019

Sealed predictions

  1. ISG15 in dopamine neurons, braak-0.58 (p 0.102) → +0.00 (p 1.000)receipt 9027

Swarm cases

receipt 9027: ISG15 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.23 (p 0.351, n 18), 95% CI -0.63 to +0.26. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.22 (p 0.384, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.17 (p 0.504, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.37 to -0.11, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.23 (p 0.351, n 18). fragile.
cell type
strongest in microglia: -0.60 (p 0.0089, n 18) vs -0.23 in dopamine neurons. proposing microglia.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for ISG15 in dopamine neurons.

follow-up registered; not confirmed in substantia nigra, an independent cohort.
follow-up ISG15 · microglia · braak: substantia nigra, an independent cohort (Parkinson's or LBD vs controls) +0.00 p 1.000 (needs p < 2.3e-4)

Receipts

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