Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

IRF8

interferon regulatory factor 8

translation score 0.48, read 2026-10-22; 2 sealed predictions, 0 held; 3 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.03 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enhanced, including microglia; strongest in pdcs0.75
chemistry
Open Targets
hard to drug0.00
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
5 Parkinson's papers of 1,2900.76
pathways
Reactome
3 pathways; mostly immune signalling0.90

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 6317

Sealed predictions

  1. IRF8 in dopamine neurons, braak-0.39 (p 0.297) → -0.29 (p 0.456)receipt 6327
  2. IRF8 in microglia, braak+0.22 (p 0.563) → +0.66 (p 0.054)receipt 6326

Swarm cases

receipt 6327: IRF8 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.36 (p 0.148, n 18), 95% CI -0.71 to +0.13. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.40 (p 0.103, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.43 (p 0.072, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.45 to -0.27, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.36 (p 0.148, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for IRF8 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

receipt 6326: IRF8 in microglia, braak

power
full sample +0.38 (p 0.123, n 18), 95% CI -0.11 to +0.72. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.43 (p 0.074, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
microglia share of nuclei vs axis -0.11 (p 0.652); controlling for it: +0.56 (p 0.017, n 18). not the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range +0.29 to +0.52, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors +0.38 (p 0.123, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for IRF8 in microglia.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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