Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

IL1B

interleukin 1 beta

translation score 0.46, read 2026-10-18; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.11 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
compounds already reach it: canakinumab, lutikizumab, gevokizumab +20.90
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
15 Parkinson's trials, 3 stopped0.84
literature
PubMed
57 Parkinson's papers of 7,6140.47
pathways
Reactome
10 pathways; mostly immune signalling0.90

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 2440

Sealed predictions

  1. IL1B in dopamine neurons, braak-0.45 (p 0.230) → -0.63 (p 0.067)receipt 2447

Swarm cases

receipt 2447: IL1B in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.32 (p 0.201, n 18), 95% CI -0.68 to +0.18. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.29 (p 0.239, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.49 (p 0.039, n 18). not the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.46 to -0.23, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.32 (p 0.201, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for IL1B in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

loading the receipts