Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

HP

haptoglobin

translation score 0.30, read 2026-10-19; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.10 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enriched outside the brain (hepatocytes)0.10
chemistry
Open Targets
a small-molecule pocket0.60
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
14 Parkinson's trials, 0 stopped1.00
literature
PubMed
133 Parkinson's papers of 33,5230.36
pathways
Reactome
2 pathways; mostly other0.30

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 2681

Sealed predictions

  1. HP in dopamine neurons, braak+0.19 (p 0.631) → -0.61 (p 0.084)receipt 2689

Swarm cases

receipt 2689: HP in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.19 (p 0.460, n 18), 95% CI -0.60 to +0.31. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.30 (p 0.221, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.31 (p 0.204, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.33 to -0.08, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.19 (p 0.460, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for HP in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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